中国特色社会主义研究 ›› 2025, Issue (5): 23-34.

• 中国式现代化理论与实践 • 上一篇    下一篇

“十五五”时期我国智能经济发展的机遇、趋势与路径

刘诚   

  • 收稿日期:2025-10-10 出版日期:2025-10-28 发布日期:2025-11-20
  • 作者简介:刘诚,中国社会科学院财经战略研究院研究员、中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院教授
  • 基金资助:
    本文系国家社会科学基金一般项目“平台经济的市场竞争与资源配置效率研究”(23BJY059)

Opportunities, Trends, and Pathways for China's Intelligent Economy During the 15th Five-Year Plan Period

Liu Cheng   

  • Received:2025-10-10 Online:2025-10-28 Published:2025-11-20

摘要:

“十五五”时期是我国向第二个百年奋斗目标进军、推动构建现代化产业体系、提升国际竞争力的关键期。这期间,智能经济将面临全球新一轮科技革命与中国式现代化建设的战略机遇,或将成为我国经济发展的重要增长极。基于“十四五”时期的发展基础及理论辨析,智能经济将出现数字化向智能化迈进、生成式向智能体跃迁、虚拟服务向实体制造转型、从“头雁效应”向产业体系进阶的四大发展趋势。“十五五”时期,我国需扩大投资规模、建设智能基础设施、形成AI产业生态、建构制度规则,从而推动智能经济安全有序发展,为经济增长和人民福祉作出更大贡献。

关键词: “十五五”, 智能经济, 中国式现代化, 发展趋势, 路径选择

Abstract:

The "15th Five-Year Plan" period is a critical phase for China to advance towards its second centenary goal, promote the construction of a modern industrial system, and enhance international competitiveness. During this period, the intelligent economy will face strategic opportunities presented by the new global wave of technological revolution and the pursuit of Chinese modernization, potentially becoming a major growth driver for China's economic development. Building on the foundation laid during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period and theoretical analysis, this study identifies four key development trends in the intelligent economy: the shift from digitalization to intelligentization, the transition from generative applications to intelligent agents, the move from virtual services to physical manufacturing, and the evolution from the "leading goose effect" to an integrated industrial system. During the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, China needs to expand investment scale, build intelligent infrastructure, foster an AI industrial ecosystem, and establish institutional rules to ensure the safe and orderly development of the intelligent economy, thereby making greater contributions to economic growth and people's well-being.

Key words: "15th Five-Year Plan", intelligent economy, Chinese Modernization, development trends, pathway choices

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