中国特色社会主义研究 ›› 2025, Issue (4): 18-27.

• 中国式现代化理论与实践 • 上一篇    下一篇

农业转移人口市民化的变化趋势与重点任务探析

杨沫   

  • 收稿日期:2025-05-30 出版日期:2025-08-28 发布日期:2025-09-19
  • 作者简介:杨沫,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所副研究员
  • 基金资助:
    中国社会科学院重大创新项目“完善城乡融合发展体制机制中的重大问题研究”的研究成果(2024YZD008)

Research on the Changing Trends and Key Tasks of Citizenization of Agricultural Migrant Population

Yang Mo   

  • Received:2025-05-30 Online:2025-08-28 Published:2025-09-19

摘要:

推进农业转移人口市民化是新型城镇化的重要任务,对于释放内需潜力、促进城乡融合发展、实现全体人民共同富裕十分重要。尽管当前市民化政策取得了积极的成效,但仍面临着户籍制度的阻碍作用尚未完全消除、城镇常住人口难以享受均等化的基本公共服务、地方政府市民化的财力支持和激励不足、农村“三权”有偿退出机制不完善等难题。与此同时,预期“十五五”时期农民工群体将发生改变,整体呈现出总量见顶回落、老龄化问题显现、第三产业从业占比提高以及县域集聚度增加等特征。对此,进一步推进农业转移人口市民化需要遵循顺应人口变化规律、深化体制机制改革、因地制宜分层推进、城乡联动系统协同的基本思路,持续深化户籍制度改革,推动城镇常住人口基本公共服务均等化,大力支持县域经济和新就业形态发展,提高地方政府市民化的能力与意愿,完善农村权益的有偿退出机制。

关键词: “十五五”时期, 农业转移人口, 市民化, 新型城镇化, 基本公共服务

Abstract:

Promoting the citizenization of agricultural transfer population is a crucial task in advancing new-type urbanization. It plays a vital role in unleashing domestic demand potential, fostering integrated urban-rural development, and achieving common prosperity. Although current urbanization policies have yielded positive outcomes, several challenges persist, including the institutional barriers of the household registration system remain incompletely dismantled; urban residents still struggle to access equal access to basic public services; local governments face insufficient fiscal capacity and incentives to support urbanization; and the mechanisms for the compensated exit from rural “Three Rights”remain underdeveloped. Meanwhile, during the anticipated 15th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030), the rural migrant workers are projected to undergo significant changes, characterized by an overall decline in total numbers, the emergence of aging trends, an increased proportion of employment in the tertiary sector, and greater concentration in county-level regions. In response, this paper proposes that advancing the urbanization of rural migrants should adhere to the following principles: adapting to the trend of population change, deepening institutional reforms, adopting tailored and tiered approaches, and promoting urban-rural coordination through systemic synergy. Specific recommendations include further deepening reforms of the household registration system; promoting equal access to basic public services for permanent urban residents; vigorously supporting the development of county-level economy and new forms of employment; enhancing local governments’ fiscal capacity and incentives for urbanization; improving mechanisms for the compensated exit of rural rights and interests.

Key words: the 15th Five-Year Plan period, agricultural migrant population, citizenization, new-type urbanization, basic public services

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