中国特色社会主义研究 ›› 2025, Issue (4): 72-81.

• 中国式现代化理论与实践 • 上一篇    下一篇

发展银发经济的系统架构与时代进路

原新, 凃坤鹏   

  • 收稿日期:2025-07-20 出版日期:2025-08-28 发布日期:2025-09-19
  • 作者简介:原新,南开大学经济学院人口与发展研究所教授|凃坤鹏,南开大学经济学院博士研究生

The System Framework and Era Path for Developing the Silver Economy

Yuan Xin, Tu Kunpeng   

  • Received:2025-07-20 Online:2025-08-28 Published:2025-09-19

摘要:

作为新时代人口与经济协调发展的重要引擎,银发经济对中国式现代化建设具有深远意义。从老龄社会视角出发,遵循人口与经济互动的内在规律,构建涵盖宏观、中观与微观三个维度的分析框架,有助于完善银发经济的发展架构。追溯银发经济的生成逻辑,宏观层面人口调控弹性减弱、中观层面劳动供给结构转型和微观层面首位需求主体变序共同催生了银发经济。从发展内涵看,银发经济既是宏观经济适老化改革的必然要求,也是中观银发产业创新发展的战略举措,还是微观老年人消费行为改变的必然趋势。前瞻银发经济的时代进路,为促进人口与经济协调发展、激发银发经济潜能,需依托数字时代红利赋能宏观经济运行范式革新与增长动能转换、中观传统产业转型与新兴产业培育、微观消费偏好迭代与供给水平提升。

关键词: 银发经济, 人口老龄化, 人口经济, 系统架构, 时代进路

Abstract:

As an important engine for the coordinated development of population and economy in the new era, the silver economy has significance impact in promoting the construction of Chinese modernization. This paper, from the perspective of an aging society, employs the interaction between population and economic development to construct a systematic framework for the silver economy, integrating macro, meso, and micro dimensions. Tracing the generative logic of the silver economy reveals that it emerges as an inevitable outcome of: (1) macro-level diminishing elasticity of population regulation; (2) meso-level restructuring of labor supply; and (3) micro-level reordering of primary demand subjects. Clarifying the development connotations of the silver economy reveals that it represents: (1) an inevitable requirement for aging-adaptive economic reforms at the macro level; (2) a strategic initiative for the innovative development of silver industries at the meso level; and (3) an inevitable trend of transformation in elderly consumption habits at the micro level. Envisioning the era pathways of the silver economy reveals that to promote the coordination between population and economy development and ignite the vitality of the Silver Economy, it is essential to harness the digital era to drive innovation in macroeconomic operational paradigms and shift growth dynamics, facilitate the transformation of traditional industries and the cultivation of emerging sectors at the meso level, and advance the evolution of micro-level consumption preferences while enhancing the quality of supply.

Key words: silver economy, population aging, population economy

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